ICRA, one of the leading ratings agency, expects the domestic commercial vehicle industry’s wholesale volumes to witness a nominal YoY growth of 0-3 percent in FY2025, against the earlier estimated decline of 4-7 percent. This follows a better-than-expected volume growth in 4M FY2025 and expectations of a marginal uptick in demand in the second half of the fiscal. 

FY2025 will be the second consecutive year of muted growth after a 1 percent and 3 percent YoY growth in wholesale and retail sales, respectively, in FY2024.

Kinjal Shah, Senior Vice-President & Co-Group Head – Corporate Ratings, ICRA: “A range of factors such as the slowdown in infrastructure activities during the General Elections, as well as extreme heatwaves across the country, had some bearing on demand in Q1 FY2025. However, volumes in this period exceeded ICRA’s expectations. Looking ahead, ICRA expects a recovery in volumes in H2 FY2025 aided by a back-ended government capex, some pick-up in private capex across manufacturing sectors, and an improvement in rural demand, following visibility around the Kharif crop output and farm cash flows. The replacement demand would also remain healthy (primarily due to the ageing fleet) and is expected to support the industry volumes in the medium term.”

“The long-term growth drivers for the domestic CV industry remain intact, like the sustained push in infrastructure development (evidenced by retaining the higher infrastructure capital outlay in the July 2024 budgetary allocation), a steady increase in mining activities, and the improvement in roads/highway connectivity.”

ICRA states that medium and heavy commercial vehicles (M&HCV) (trucks) volumes in FY2025 are expected to report a nominal growth of 0-3 percent YoY, given the high base effect and the impact of the General Elections on infrastructure activities in the first few months of the fiscal. The segment had ended FY2024 with flattish volumes. Within this sub-segment, while the tipper volumes reported 4 percent YoY contraction in Q1 FY2025, the haulage sub-segment showed a modest 3 percent YoY growth for the quarter. Tractor-trailers reported a modest 7 percent YoY volume growth in Q1 FY2025.

Domestic light commercial vehicles (LCV) (trucks) wholesale volumes are expected to show a tepid YoY growth of -1 percent to 2 percent in FY2025 due to factors such as a high base effect, sustained slowdown in e-commerce and cannibalisation from electric three-wheelers. The segment had witnessed a mild decline of 3 percent on a YoY basis in FY2024, owing to the above factors, in addition to a deficit rainfall impacting the rural economy. Increased total cost of ownership of LCVs has also led to a rising preference for pre-owned vehicles by the small fleet operators, which may impact the demand, going forward.

The scrappage of older government vehicles is expected to drive replacement demand for the bus segment from state road transport undertakings (SRTUs) in FY2025, supporting a YoY growth of 8-11 percent. The sub-segment volumes gained considerable traction in FY2024 and exceeded the pre-covid levels.

In terms of powertrain mix, conventional fuels (primarily diesel) continue to dominate the domestic CV industry with a penetration of over 90 percent, while alternative fuels (CNG, LNG and electric) had driven around 9 percent sales in FY2024. Relatively higher penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) has been witnessed in buses (as e-buses were covered under FAME-II subsidies but not the other sub-segments), followed by LCV goods, with a penetration of 7 percent and 1 percent, respectively, in FY2024.

ICRA expects the operating profit margin (OPM) of the domestic CV original equipment manufacturers to remain range bound in FY2025 to 9.5 percent to 10.5 percent on the back of muted volumes and higher competitive pricing pressures, although factors such as cost improvement, favourable raw material costs and better product discipline are expected to lend some support to the profitability. 

The operating margins in FY2024 had improved by almost 300 bps to 10.7 percent supported by operating leverage benefits and better product mix. In addition, lower discounting and benign commodity prices aided in the margin expansion in FY2024. The capex and investments for the industry are likely to increase to around INR 56-58 billion in FY2025, against about INR 34 billion in FY2024. These will be mainly towards product development, especially in the areas of alternate powertrains, technology upgradation and maintenance-related activities.

“ICRA foresees the credit metrics of the industry to remain stable in FY2025 even as margins may contract marginally and capex outlay is anticipated to increase. The continued strong operating performance is expected to support the coverage metrics of the industry, with Total Debt / OPBITDA projected at 1.2-1.4 times as on March 31, 2025, against 1.5 times in as on 31 March, 2024 and interest coverage at 6.8-7.2x in FY2025, against 7.2 times in FY2024,” concluded Shah.

Ashok Leyland, a leading commercial vehicle manufacturer, has inaugurated its 22nd Light Commercial Vehicles (LCV) dealership in Uttar Pradesh. The new 3S facility located in Chunar, Mirzapur will further strengthen the company’s presence in North India.

The company’s LCV portfolio includes Saathi, Dost, Bada Dost, Partner and MiTR targeted for a wide range of customers and applications.

Viplav Shah, Head – LCV Business, Ashok Leyland, said, “Recognising immense potential of Uttar Pradesh as a key market for us, we are thrilled to strengthen our presence in the region. Our new dealership in Chunar (Mirzapur) would go a long way in reinforcing our presence in the state. The phenomenal success of our ‘Dost’, ‘Bada Dost,’ and the new ‘Saathi’ range underscores the robustness of our products - thanks to their best-in-class mileage, superior performance, and higher payloads. We take immense pride in our exceptional service retention levels, with nearly 70% of our customers returning to our dealer workshops even beyond the warranty period. This new dealership marks yet another milestone in our journey to provide the best possible experience to our valued customers.”

Ashok Leyland, one of the country’s leading commercial vehicle manufacturers, has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Nagaland Rural Bank for a strategic vehicle financing partnership. The partnership will see Ashok Leyland get access to customised financial solutions from Nagaland Rural Bank.

The MoU was signed by C Neelakantan, Head -Treasury and Direct Taxation, Ashok Leyland and Velayutham Sadhasivam, Chairman, Nagaland Rural Bank.

Balaji K M, CFO, Ashok Leyland, said, “At Ashok Leyland, we are dedicated to continuously enhancing customer experience and delivering greater value in our products and services. Nagaland Rural Bank is a regional rural bank with a strong presence in the state. With this partnership in place, our customers in the region will have access to comprehensive financing solutions with specially curated easy repayment plans”.

Sanjeev Kumar, President – MHCV, Ashok Leyland, said, “Ashok Leyland is looking forward to collaborating with Nagaland Rural Bank to offer our customers highly attractive financing solutions. This strategic partnership not only strengthens our market presence but also reinforces our commitment to innovation and customer success. With cutting-edge technology and industry-leading total cost of ownership, our products are designed to drive profitability and value for our customers. We remain steadfast in our commitment to deliver exceptional customer experience and build long lasting relationships.”

Velayutham Sadhasivam added, “Nagaland Rural Bank is delighted to collaborate with Ashok Leyland to provide seamless vehicle financing solutions. This partnership underscores our commitment to meeting the diverse financial needs of commercial vehicle customers across the state. We are confident that this alliance will help us expand our reach and offer customized financing options, fostering the growth of businesses in the commercial vehicle sector.”

Eicher Trucks & Buses, a business unit of VE Commercial Vehicles, has announced that it successfully hosted the second Woman Transporters Delegation at its Bhopal plant.

The event saw women leaders in the transport industry exchange ideas, share insights and explore new business opportunities. The discussion revolved around a wide range of topics such as digitisation, alternative fuels and intelligent mobility solutions that provide challenges and opportunities.

The women leaders were given an exclusive tour of Eicher’s Bhopal plant, an interactive session with VECV Executive Management and test drive experience.

Vinod Aggarwal, MD & CEO, VECV, said, “At Eicher Trucks and Buses, we firmly believe that inclusivity and diversity strengthen businesses and drives growth. Technology and digital solutions are transforming the industry, making businesses smarter and more efficient. While we are taking steps to improve diversity and inclusion internally through initiatives like an all-woman assembly line in Bhopal, we thank you for working with us to foster innovative approaches in the commercial vehicle industry."

Bhagwan K Bindiganavile, EVP, Strategic Planning, Brand & Communications, VECV, added, “The Indian CV industry is transforming rapidly, guided by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s vision of Seven Cs for mobility solutions: Common, Connected, Convenient, Congestion-free, Charged, Clean and Cutting-edge. We appreciated the women leaders focus on balancing the new technologies making logistics more efficient with a people-first approach.”

SS Gill, Chief Commercial Officer, VECV; B Srinivas, COO, Eicher Trucks and Buses; Ramesh Rajagopalan, EVP, Customer Service, Retail Excellence and Network Development and Vimal Mulchandani, EVP- Manufacturing Operation, Eicher Trucks & Buses & Volvo Buses also engaged with the women transporters delegation.

Construction and off-road equipment major SANY has launched what it claims is India's first hybrid off-highway 100-tonne mining dump truck – the SKT130S – with localised manufacturing at its Pune factory.

The truck operates with a 925 kW engine, which generates 3200 Nm of torque, 100-tonne payload capacity and a 61 CuM heaped body capacity, designed for mining applications.

Deepak Garg, Vice-Chairman and MD, SANY India and South Asia, said, “The introduction of the SKT130S is a remarkable achievement in our journey towards driving innovation and self-reliance in India’s mining sector. As India’s first 100-tonne diesel-electric hybrid mining truck, the SKT130S demonstrates SANY India’s commitment to delivering high-performance, efficient and safe solutions to meet the evolving demands of the industry. Our focus on localisation not only supports India’s manufacturing vision but also ensures that we bring cutting-edge technology to enhance productivity in mining operations.”

The SKT130S is expected to achieve fuel savings of 20-25 percent compared to conventional mining trucks. A regenerative braking system enables the high-voltage battery to charge during downhill operation.

The truck includes an intelligent control module for operation management and a 10-inch central control screen for navigation and safety. The cabin meets FOPS/ROPS certification standards, aligning with global safety regulations.